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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New York Jets vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-155/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mike White in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to accrue 4.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among running backs.
  • Michael Carter has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 10.1% this year, which ranks him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • Michael Carter has been among the top RBs in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 19.0 yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
  • Michael Carter's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 70.7% to 86.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
  • Michael Carter has posted a puny -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 24th percentile among running backs.

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