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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

Michael Carter Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Carter has garnered 50.2% of his team's carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles rank as the 7th-worst group of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 9th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.

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