Michael Carter Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Michael Carter

NFL · Player Props

Michael Carter

RB · New York Jets

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Carter Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Carter has garnered 50.2% of his team's carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles rank as the 7th-worst group of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 9th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.

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