Michael Carter Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Jets are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to garner 18.7 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to be a more integral piece of his team's running game this week (59.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (41.9% in games he has played).
The Chicago Bears defensive ends grade out as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.
Favors Under
The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mike White in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.