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Melvin Gordon

Melvin Gordon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Melvin Gordon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • Melvin Gordon has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this year (40.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (51.7%).
  • Melvin Gordon has rushed for many fewer yards per game (33.0) this season than he did last season (56.0).
  • Melvin Gordon's rushing effectiveness has worsened this season, notching a mere 3.49 yards-per-carry vs a 4.45 mark last season.
  • Melvin Gordon has been among the bottom RBs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 2.58 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 14th percentile.

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