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Melvin Gordon

Melvin Gordon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Melvin Gordon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+105/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Melvin Gordon has been much less involved in his offense's running game this year (39.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (51.7%).
  • Melvin Gordon has rushed for many fewer yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (56.0).
  • Melvin Gordon's running efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a measly 3.53 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.45 figure last season.

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