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Melvin Gordon

Melvin Gordon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

Melvin Gordon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos will be rolling with backup QB Brett Rypien in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.

The Denver Broncos O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Melvin Gordon's receiving efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 7.74 yards-per-target compared to a measly 6.52 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 10th-least in football.

Melvin Gordon has run fewer routes this year (27.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (43.4%).

The New York Jets pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (70.3%) versus running backs this year (70.3%).

The New York Jets pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus RBs this year, conceding 4.70 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.

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