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Melvin Gordon

Melvin Gordon Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

Melvin Gordon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-109/-131).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

Melvin Gordon has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this year (40.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (51.7%).

The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best DT corps in football this year with their run defense.

The Denver Broncos have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box against opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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