My Account Log Out
 
 
Melvin Gordon

Melvin Gordon Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Melvin Gordon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-169/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -169.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 5th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.5 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™