Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Mecole Hardman

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Mecole Hardman's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten a boost this year, averaging 13.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 6.97 mark last year.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.60 seconds before getting pressured (best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
Mecole Hardman's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 74.8% to 65.3%.
The Buffalo Bills defense has conceded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 142.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, yielding 7.33 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the league.