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Mecole Hardman

Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Mecole Hardman has been among the best wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 8.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 99th percentile.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in the league (171.0) to wideouts this year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (67.9%) to wideouts since the start of last season (67.9%).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Mecole Hardman has notched many fewer receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (36.0).
  • Mecole Hardman's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 74.8% to 60.2%.

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