Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Mecole Hardman

NFL · Player Props

Mecole Hardman

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 11:50 PM UTC

Analysis

Mecole Hardman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Mecole Hardman has been among the best wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 8.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 99th percentile.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in the league (171.0) to wideouts this year.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (67.9%) to wideouts since the start of last season (67.9%).
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mecole Hardman has notched many fewer receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (36.0).
Mecole Hardman's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 74.8% to 60.2%.

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