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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford TD Passes
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Matthew Stafford TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Rams may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 132.8 total plays called: the highest number on the slate this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the least pass-focused team in football near the goal line (53.3% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the imposing Minnesota Vikings defense has yielded a mere 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 10th-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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