My Account Log Out

reorder

Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns

Matthew Stafford TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-245).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -245.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.

In racking up a colossal 36.1 pass attempts per game this year, Matthew Stafford stands among the top quarterbacks in football (75th percentile) for this stat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3.5 points.

With a 49.2% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL in this setting has been the Los Angeles Rams.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 26.8 per game) this year.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.

Matthew Stafford's 60.0% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a material decline in his throwing accuracy over last season's 65.3% mark.

More Matthew Stafford Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™