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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Rams are predicted by the projections to call 65.7 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Rams have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
  • In logging a colossal 36.8 pass attempts per game this year, Matthew Stafford ranks among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (81st percentile) by this metric.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 49.0% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league under these circumstances has been the Los Angeles Rams.
  • The Rams offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Matthew Stafford's throwing precision has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 65.3% to 58.9%.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Seattle's collection of CBs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

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