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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Rams have been the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 59.4% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to attempt 36.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Rams have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.

The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.

The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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