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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys

Matthew Stafford TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to attempt 38.3 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.

Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has given up the 2nd-least TDs through the air in football: 0.75 per game this year.

The Dallas Cowboys safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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