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Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-155).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 133.3 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.The Los Angeles Rams have run the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.The Chicago Bears linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The model projects the Rams to be the 11th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 41.2% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to accrue the 4th-fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 1.3. Making up just 0.0% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (2nd percentile when it comes to QBs), Matthew Stafford's one-dimensionality makes him no threat in the run game.With a terrible total of 5.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (12th percentile), Matthew Stafford ranks among the weakest running QBs in football last year.Matthew Stafford is positioned as one of the weakest QBs in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a mere 0.33 yards-after-contact last year while grading out in the 18th percentile.
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