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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills defense has produced the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up 4.87 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Buffalo defensive tackles rank as the 9th-worst DT corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 6th-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

This week, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to notch the fewest carries among all QBs with 1.3.

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