Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-124/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a colossal 61.7 per game on average).
Matthew Stafford's 7.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies a meaningful gain in his rushing ability over last season's 2.0 mark.

Favors Under

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to run on 35.7% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Rams to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
In this week's game, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to accumulate the 4th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 1.9.

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