Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The Rams have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.4 plays per game.
Matthew Stafford's 9.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a an impressive gain in his running talent over last season's 2.0 rate.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (130 per game) against the Cardinals defense this year.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Arizona's group of DTs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 9th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.1% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Rams to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.
The leading projections forecast Matthew Stafford to accrue 2.3 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 6th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
With a very bad record of 0.40 yards-after-contact (9th percentile), Matthew Stafford stands as one of the worst running quarterbacks in the league this year.

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