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Matthew Stafford
NFL · Player Props
Matthew Stafford
QB · Los Angeles Rams
Rushing Yards
Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2023 Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC
NFL Props Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • Opposing offenses have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year, averaging 26.60 seconds per snap.
  • Matthew Stafford has been a more important option in his team's ground game this year (9.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (3.9%).
  • Matthew Stafford has run for many more yards per game (11.0) this season than he did last season (2.0).
Favors Under
  • The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • This week, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projection model to earn the 5th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 2.2.
  • Matthew Stafford has been among the weakest QBs in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a mere 0.40 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 9th percentile.
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