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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+145/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to run 65.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.

The 5th-most plays in the league have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a massive 60.8 per game on average).

This year, the weak Giants run defense has been torched for a monstrous 137.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the predictive model to notch the 5th-fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 1.6.

Accounting for a mere 4.5% of his team's rush attempts this year (14th percentile among QBs), Matthew Stafford's lack of mobility makes him no threat in the run game.

Matthew Stafford has picked up a mere 5.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest marks in the NFL when it comes to QBs (21st percentile).

With a dreadful record of 0.35 yards-after-contact (24th percentile), Matthew Stafford ranks as one of the worst running quarterbacks in the league this year.

The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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