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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have 135.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

The Rams have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.6 plays per game.

The New Orleans Saints defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this contest, Matthew Stafford is projected by the model to notch the 5th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 2.1.

Matthew Stafford is more comfortable in the pocket and has accounted for a lowly 4.9% of his team's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 21st percentile among quarterbacks.

With a dreadful tally of 5.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (18th percentile), Matthew Stafford places as one of the bottom rushing QBs in the league this year.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

More Matthew Stafford Player Props

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