Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Matthew Stafford has run for significantly more yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (2.0).
The Cleveland Browns safeties profile as the 23rd-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.
Our trusted projections expect Matthew Stafford to notch 2.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Matthew Stafford is more comfortable in the pocket and has accounted for a lowly 6.1% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 23rd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
This year, the weak Browns run defense has been torched for a colossal 4.18 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 23rd-biggest rate in football.

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