Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Matthew Stafford's 7.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates a noteworthy boost in his running talent over last year's 2.0 mark.
This year, the porous Arizona Cardinals run defense has allowed a staggering 137.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 4th-most in football.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Arizona's group of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The model projects the Rams as the 9th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Rams to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
The predictive model expects Matthew Stafford to garner 2.1 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.

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