Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game this week (6.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.9% in games he has played).
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 2nd-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 33.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to accrue 1.4 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.

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