Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a heavy 10-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to be much more involved in his team's running game this week (7.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.2% in games he has played).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-most yards in football (142 per game) vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.74 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to notch 1.8 carries in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.

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