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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 239.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 236.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 239.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Rams, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Rams to pass on 62.1% of their chances: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 131.0 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's contest, Matthew Stafford is expected by the predictive model to average the 3rd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.3.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
  • Matthew Stafford has passed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (227.0) this season than he did last season (261.0).
  • The Vikings defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.39 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-fewest in the league.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of LBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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