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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 217.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 213.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 217.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The projections expect Matthew Stafford to throw 36.0 passes in this game, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.

The 49ers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (35.4 per game) since the start of last season.

Matthew Stafford is positioned as one of the best passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 248.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.98 seconds per play.

Matthew Stafford's throwing efficiency has declined this season, averaging just 6.40 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.51 rate last season.

Since the start of last season, the tough San Francisco 49ers defense has given up the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a mere 7.1 yards.

Since the start of last season, the formidable 49ers defense has conceded the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a paltry 5.1 YAC.

The 49ers linebackers rank as the 2nd-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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