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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 251.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 262.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 251.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a colossal 60.7 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The model projects Matthew Stafford to throw 37.0 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.

With a fantastic rate of 263.0 adjusted passing yards per game (84th percentile), Matthew Stafford ranks among the best QBs in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.

Matthew Stafford's passing effectiveness has declined this year, averaging a measly 6.19 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.51 rate last year.

Since the start of last season, the stout Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing squads: a measly 4.6 YAC.

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