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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 243.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 235.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 243.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Rams may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 132.8 total plays called: the highest number on the slate this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year.

This year, the deficient Vikings defense has been torched for a massive 245.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.

Matthew Stafford has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (232.0) this year than he did last year (261.0).

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, conceding 7.48 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-fewest in football.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 10th-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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