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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 239.5 (+108/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 238.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 239.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

Matthew Stafford's 66.1% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a material improvement in his throwing accuracy over last season's 62.4% mark.

This year, the deficient Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded a staggering 75.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-highest rate in football.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 127.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cardinals, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.0 per game) this year.

The Rams offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Matthew Stafford has passed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (235.0) this season than he did last season (261.0).

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