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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 251.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 253.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 251.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Rams as the 6th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

In averaging a whopping 34.9 pass attempts per game this year, Matthew Stafford slots in among the top QBs in football (80th percentile) in this statistic.

Matthew Stafford's 65.4% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a remarkable growth in his throwing accuracy over last season's 62.4% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In regards to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

This year, the tough Bills defense has conceded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a paltry 7.3 yards.

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