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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 243.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 241.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

At only 28.08 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Rams offense is positioned as the 9th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.

The model projects Matthew Stafford to throw 35.7 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.

Matthew Stafford comes in as one of the best passers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 250.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New England's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

This year, the daunting Patriots defense has surrendered the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a feeble 4.0 YAC.

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