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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 262.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 265.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 262.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.1% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing squads have played at the 10th-quickest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Rams defense this year, averaging 27.01 seconds per play.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the model to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.7.

Matthew Stafford has thrown for a lot more adjusted yards per game (265.0) this season than he did last season (220.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.

Matthew Stafford's 59.8% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a a noteworthy decrease in his passing accuracy over last year's 65.3% mark.

This year, the tough Steelers defense has allowed a measly 62.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-lowest rate in football.

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