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Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 254.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 248.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 254.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have 135.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.The Rams have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.6 plays per game.The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.The model projects Matthew Stafford to throw 36.9 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-most among all quarterbacks.Matthew Stafford's 252.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year illustrates an impressive boost in his throwing skills over last year's 220.0 mark.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 4.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.Matthew Stafford's passing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 65.3% to 61.3%.This year, the strong New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered a feeble 62.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.This year, the fierce Saints defense has given up the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a feeble 6.8 yards.When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New Orleans's unit has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.
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