Matthew Stafford Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Passing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 205.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 200.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Rams, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 10th-quickest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
In this week's contest, Matthew Stafford is predicted by the projections to total the 9th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.1.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.

Favors Under

Matthew Stafford's 59.7% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a remarkable drop-off in his passing accuracy over last year's 65.3% figure.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, surrendering 6.20 adjusted yards-per-target: the fewest in the NFL.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.16 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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