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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 242.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 258.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 242.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Rams are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 66.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to attempt 40.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.
  • Matthew Stafford has passed for significantly more yards per game (253.0) this season than he did last season (219.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Opposing QBs have passed for the 5th-least yards in the NFL (just 202.0 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-lowest level in the league against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (68.2%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, giving up 6.54 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks profile as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

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