Matthew Stafford Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Passing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 260.5 (-114/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 259.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 260.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Matthew Stafford has attempted 38.9 throws per game this year, grading out in the 75th percentile among quarterbacks.
Matthew Stafford has thrown for a lot more yards per game (264.0) this season than he did last season (219.0).
Matthew Stafford's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 65.4% to 69.5%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 10th-least yards in football (just 218.0 per game) against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.63 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in football.

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