Matthew Stafford Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Passing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 274.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 279.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 274.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to attempt 36.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all quarterbacks.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Matthew Stafford's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 65.4% to 72.1%.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 10th-least yards in the NFL (just 219.0 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.88 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-least in the NFL.

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