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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Interceptions
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the Rams as the 6th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.
  • In averaging a whopping 34.9 pass attempts per game this year, Matthew Stafford slots in among the top QBs in football (80th percentile) in this statistic.
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • The Bills have intercepted 1.00 targets per game this year, ranking as the 7th-best defense in the NFL by this stat.

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