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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Interceptions
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

At only 28.08 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Rams offense is positioned as the 9th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.

The model projects Matthew Stafford to throw 35.7 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.

New England's defense grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year when it comes to inducing interceptions, averaging just 0.41 per game.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New England's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

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