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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Interceptions
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to attempt 38.1 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.
  • The New Orleans Saints have intercepted 0.18 balls per game this year, grading out as the worst defense in the NFL by this stat
  • The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks grade out as the worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have utilized play action on a measly 21.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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