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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Completions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-107/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Rams to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projection model to average the 6th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.5.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • Matthew Stafford's passing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 62.4% to 69.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 5th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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