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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Completions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/-102).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Matthew Stafford has attempted 38.9 throws per game this year, grading out in the 75th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • Matthew Stafford's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 65.4% to 69.5%.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have utilized play action on just 21.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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