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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Completions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to attempt 38.3 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The Dallas Cowboys safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have utilized play action on a lowly 21.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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