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Matt Ryan

Matt Ryan Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Matt Ryan Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+107/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts are a 4-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 10th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Matt Ryan to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (9.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.3% in games he has played).
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Matt Ryan has picked up a mere 5.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest figures in football among QBs (16th percentile).
  • Matt Ryan's running effectiveness (2.67 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (6th percentile among QBs).
  • Matt Ryan has been among the bottom QBs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 1.13 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 9th percentile.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-least yards in the league (just 94 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.

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