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Matt Ryan Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-170).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Indianapolis Colts have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.Matt Ryan's rushing efficiency has been refined this season, averaging 4.21 yards-per-carry vs a mere 2.57 mark last season.The Indianapolis Colts have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Colts are a giant 11.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 9th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.THE BLITZ projects Matt Ryan to earn 2.3 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
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