Matt Ryan Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Matt Ryan

NFL · Player Props

Matt Ryan

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Matt Ryan Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
Matt Ryan's rushing efficiency has been refined this season, averaging 4.21 yards-per-carry vs a mere 2.57 mark last season.
The Indianapolis Colts have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Colts are a giant 11.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 9th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Matt Ryan to earn 2.3 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.

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