Matt Ryan Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Matt Ryan

NFL · Player Props

Matt Ryan

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Matt Ryan Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
Matt Ryan's running efficiency has gotten better this season, averaging 4.35 yards-per-carry vs a mere 2.57 rate last season.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Indianapolis Colts have risked going for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Colts are a massive 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 34.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Matt Ryan to total 2.0 carries this week, on average: the 9th-least of all QBs.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.

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