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Matt Ryan Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.Matt Ryan's ground effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, totaling 4.18 yards-per-carry vs a mere 2.57 figure last season.The Indianapolis Colts have risked going for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 35.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.THE BLITZ projects Matt Ryan to total 1.9 carries in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
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