Matt Ryan Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Matt Ryan

NFL · Player Props

Matt Ryan

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Passing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Matt Ryan Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 242.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
Matt Ryan has attempted 41.2 passes per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among quarterbacks.
Matt Ryan has thrown for substantially more yards per game (282.0) this season than he did last season (235.0).
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 7.92 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in the NFL versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (66.4%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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