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Matt Ryan

Matt Ryan Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Matt Ryan Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 242.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
  • Matt Ryan has attempted 41.2 passes per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • Matt Ryan has thrown for substantially more yards per game (282.0) this season than he did last season (235.0).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 7.92 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in the NFL versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (66.4%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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